This is a daily updated website tracking information related to avian
influenza, in California, based on public data from genetic sequencing
of material in wastewater samples. Avian influenza, or
“bird flu”, may be any of several subtypes of influenza A, including
subtype H5N1.
It can infect cows, pigs, and other mammals as well as birds, and can
cause disease in humans, though to date it is not known to be
transmissible from one human to another.
H5 Influenza in Wastewater
These plots summarize H5 influenza wastewater readings from the
Cal-SuWers network, and H5 influenza wastewater readings from WastewaterScan.
Individual readings are combined into a smoothed curve.
These readings are likely mainly bovine influenza, together with maybe
some avian cases (as of December 2024).
Data through January 30, 2025
This is a plot of individual and smoothed wastewater readings by county
in the Bay Area. The latest smoothed readings are as follows: In Alameda
County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.004 as of January 28, 2025, decreasing
by about 21 percent per day, from the state, 0.2 as of January 29, 2025,
decreasing by about 22 percent per day. In Contra Costa County, from the
state, 0.4 as of January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 6 percent per
day. In Marin County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.1 as of January 29, 2025,
decreasing by about 15 percent per day, from the state, 0.4 as of
January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 16 percent per day. In Napa
County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.2 as of January 29, 2025, decreasing by
about 4 percent per day. In San Francisco County, from Wastewater Scan,
0.2 as of January 30, 2025, decreasing by about 6 percent per day. In
San Mateo County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.2 as of January 30, 2025,
decreasing by about 6 percent per day, from the state, 0.6 as of January
29, 2025, decreasing by about 8 percent per day. In Santa Clara County,
from Wastewater Scan, 0.1 as of January 30, 2025, decreasing by about 6
percent per day. In Solano County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.002 as of
January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 21 percent per day, from the
state, 0.8 as of January 27, 2025, decreasing by about 4 percent per
day. In Sonoma County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.02 as of January 29,
2025, decreasing by about 19 percent per day, from the state, 0.4 as of
January 26, 2025, decreasing by about 5 percent per day. All values are
gene copies detected per hundred thousand copies of the pepper moth
virus control. For the complete timeseries, see the CSV data linked
below. For any questions, please feel free to contact the author.
This is a plot of individual and smoothed wastewater readings by county
in California outside the Bay Area. The latest smoothed readings are as
follows: In El Dorado County, from the state, 0.7 as of January 27,
2025, decreasing by about 8 percent per day. In Los Angeles County, from
Wastewater Scan, 0.02 as of January 28, 2025, decreasing by about 11
percent per day, from the state, 0.3 as of January 29, 2025, roughly
unchanging. In Merced County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.1 as of January
29, 2025, decreasing by about 5 percent per day. In Mono County, from
the state, 0.6 as of January 28, 2025, decreasing by about 2 percent per
day. In Monterey County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.03 as of January 29,
2025, decreasing by about 15 percent per day, from the state, 1.5 as of
January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 1 percent per day. In Nevada
County, from the state, 6.7 as of January 29, 2025, decreasing by about
2 percent per day. In Riverside County, from Wastewater Scan, 0 as of
January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 83 percent per day, from the
state, 0.02 as of January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 10 percent per
day. In Sacramento County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.4 as of January 30,
2025, decreasing by about 4 percent per day. In San Benito County, from
the state, 0.2 as of January 27, 2025, decreasing by about 12 percent
per day. In San Bernardino County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.01 as of
January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 11 percent per day. In San Diego
County, from Wastewater Scan, 0 as of January 26, 2025, trend not
identifiable. In San Joaquin County, from the state, 0.6 as of January
29, 2025, decreasing by about 6 percent per day. In San Luis Obispo
County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.1 as of January 30, 2025, decreasing by
about 11 percent per day, from the state, 0.6 as of January 29, 2025,
decreasing by about 7 percent per day. In Santa Barbara County, from
Wastewater Scan, 0.02 as of January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 15
percent per day. In Santa Cruz County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.03 as of
January 28, 2025, decreasing by about 17 percent per day, from the
state, 0.6 as of January 28, 2025, decreasing by about 9 percent per
day. In Stanislaus County, from Wastewater Scan, 2.8 as of January 29,
2025, decreasing by about 8 percent per day, from the state, 2.1 as of
January 28, 2025, decreasing by about 11 percent per day. In Ventura
County, from the state, 0.2 as of January 29, 2025, decreasing by about
3 percent per day. In Yolo County, from Wastewater Scan, 0.005 as of
January 29, 2025, decreasing by about 16 percent per day. All values are
gene copies detected per hundred thousand copies of the pepper moth
virus control. For the complete timeseries, see the CSV data linked
below. For any questions, please feel free to contact the author.
H5 Detection
[Note: the new administration may be halting CDC data releases. We
are monitoring the situation.]
CDC is providing a weekly
dataset of which wastewater sites have detectable H5-type influenza A, a
classification that includes H5N1. Here we display the current and past
fraction of sites detecting H5, by county.
Data through January 25, 2025
This is a plot of the fraction of sites detecting H5 type influenza in
wastewater in California outside the Bay Area. The latest fractions are
as follows: In El Dorado, 1 based on 1 site, up from 0 the previous
week. In Los Angeles, 0.5 based on 4 sites, the same as the previous
week. In Merced, 1 based on 1 site, the same as the previous week. In
Mono, 1 based on 1 site, the same as the previous week. In Monterey,
0.67 based on 3 sites, the same as the previous week. In Nevada, 1 based
on 1 site, up from 0 the previous week. In Placer, 0 based on 1 site,
down from 1 the previous week. In Riverside, 1 based on 2 sites, up from
0 the previous week. In Sacramento, 1 based on 1 site, the same as the
previous week. In San Benito, 0 based on 1 site, the same as the
previous week. In San Bernardino, 0 based on 1 site, down from 1 the
previous week. In San Diego, 0 based on 1 site, the same as the previous
week. In San Joaquin, 0.5 based on 2 sites, down from 1 the previous
week. In San Luis Obispo, 0.4 based on 5 sites, down from 0.8 the
previous week. In Santa Barbara, 0 based on 2 sites, down from 0.5 the
previous week. In Santa Cruz, 0.4 based on 5 sites, the same as the
previous week. In Shasta, 1 based on 1 site, up from 0 the previous
week. In Stanislaus, 1 based on 2 sites, the same as the previous week.
In Ventura, 0.33 based on 3 sites, down from 0.67 the previous week. In
Yolo, 0 based on 2 sites, the same as the previous week. For the
complete timeseries, see the CSV data linked below. For any questions,
please feel free to contact the author.
Methods
Wastewater readings are downloaded from the CalHHS
Open Data Portal and from WastewaterScan
each day. From each wastewater sample, the number of copies of an
influenza gene detected in the sample is reported. Copies of a gene of
the Pepper Moth Mottle Virus (PPMoV) are also counted, which is a
widespread and relatively benign virus used as an indicator of the
amount of human waste in the sample. The ratio of flu virus counts to
PPMoV counts is used as a measure of disease prevalence. Counts for
which the PPMoV control is not present are excluded. Each count is used
in all counties included in its wastewater collection region.
Exceptionally high wastewater counts are indicated by ^
signs at the top of each plot.
Since the individual wastewater readings can be widely variable, we
construct a smoothed curve through them to de-emphasize short-term
variation and make longer-term trends visible. This smoothing is
implemented using kernel
density smoothing with a Gaussian kernel with bandwidth
of 28 days.
The most recent week’s H5 presence/absence data is updated weekly.
We[1] download the data from
the CDC website daily and combine current data with past data that we
have archived.